The growth in LIRs has been accelerating over the past years. The RIPE NCC started operations in April 1992. By September that year, 36 Local Internet Registries had been identified and set-up. 15 years later, in June 2007, we reached the 5,000 LIRs milestone. The 10,000 mark was reached just seven years later on 18 February 2014. And now, with less than three years since that last milestone, the number of LIRs has reached 15,000.
[...] Following the exhaustion of IPv4, and the RIPE NCC reaching its last /8 on 14 September 2012, we see growth accelerating again.
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[...] Figure 3a groups the LIRs by the amount of time elapsed since sign-up. This most clearly shows how the LIRs which were activated in the last 12 months form the largest group: more than 2,500 of them. [...]
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50% of the presently active registries joined within the last 4.25 years, i.e. after 25 September 2012, after RIPE NCC's IPv4 pool reached the last /8 and allocation policies switched to the mode of one final /22 per LIR. This shows that even in this exhaustion phase, IPv4 is in high demand; organisations primarily join the RIPE NCC and open additional accounts to get a small part of the remaining addresses. Figure 4, which looks at the status of LIRs with respect to the final allocation they are entitled to, confirms this. The overwhelming majority of new LIRs, activated after 14 September 2012, have received their final /22. For older LIRs this is more balanced. 27.1% out of the 49.8% which fall into this category have yet to request the last 1,024 IPv4 addresses they can get from the RIPE NCC.
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If no more IPv4 space is recovered and linear growth prevails, the present 13.2 million addresses in the available pool would last until the beginning of 2021. With occasional reclaims and deregistrations of the size we saw in October 2016, the lifetime could be expanded for some more months, which would make RIPE NCC run out in the middle of 2021.
Ce que je retiens : le RIPE compte de plus en plus de membres (les LIR) mais ces membres ne viennent pas pour participer à la """"gouvernance"""" d'un des aspects d'Internet ni pour se faire représenter démocratiquement, non, ils rejoignent le RIPE pour pecho les dernières adresses IPv4 restantes. Ce qui serait intéressant, c'est de savoir combien de nouveaux LIR sont des faux-nez de sociétés commerciales bien établies qui cherchent à s'accaparer toujours plus de ressources au lieu de migrer vers IPv6. Un peu comme les filiales montées en Afrique uniquement pour pecho des ressources dans le pool d'AfrNIC qui, vu le developpement numérique du continent, en a moins distribué que les autres RIR.
Via #grifon